Juncture Data Lab

Democracy Delivery Gap Index (DDGI) v0.1

The DDGI measures whether democratic quality translates into public service delivery. A positive score means democracy is ahead of delivery. A negative score means delivery outpaces democratic quality.

Methodology: V-Dem v16 (liberal democracy and electoral democracy, equally weighted), WGI 2025 (government effectiveness), WDI (infant mortality inverted, electricity access, water access, secondary school enrollment). 30 emerging markets, 2010-2023.

Country Scores (2023) — 6 of 30 score positive

Country DDGI Direction
Nigeria 0.083 Positive
Argentina 0.046 Positive
Brazil 0.029 Positive
Kenya 0.01 Positive
South Africa 0.009 Positive
Senegal 0.006 Positive
Vietnam -0.802 Negative
Turkey -0.736 Negative
Uzbekistan -0.732 Negative
Kazakhstan -0.721 Negative
Egypt -0.701 Negative

Full methodology and all 30 country profiles | Download the data

Coming Soon

  • DDGI v0.2: 80+ emerging markets (Q3 2026)
  • Fiscal Populism / Reform Capacity Monitor (Q3 2026)
  • Human Capability Stack (Q4 2026)