Kenya Archives - Juncture Policy

Screening a US AI Export Package in Week One: Nine Questions, Tested on Kenya

October 8, 2026September 30, 2026 by Walter Guevara

Designation is not a financing decision: the Kenya public-evidence test, with no designation confirmed, has three stop signs, with buyer and power unanswered and no public evidence for a risk-bearer; pass tests require a named buyer with documented repayment or funding capacity, a power purchase agreement or grid allocation, and a sovereign guarantee, creditworthy corporate offtaker or support mechanism. The nine-question screen pauses talks on one stop sign and returns the package on two or more; demand, tool, scale and owner need a dated recheck, while designation effect and clock require agency answers.

Designation is the start of a deal, not a step toward closing it. A nine-question early screen for a US AI export package, tested on the Microsoft and G42 data center announced for Kenya.